Situation Report 19 : Diplomat Magazine

On the grand strategic degree, declassified intelligence has been leaked that implies that Russian President Vladimir Putin believes he was misled by his personal crew.  The fabric stated the he was “misinformed by his advisors about how badly the Russian navy is performing and the way the financial system is being crippled by sanctions.”


Russian Overseas Minister Sergei Lavrov has stated Russia will solely use standard weapons in Ukraine. 


Because the warfare enters its second part within the Battle for the Donbas, the tempo of Russian operations together with speeding newly reconstituted items into battle continues to counsel that President Vladimir Putin is demanding a hasty offensive to attain his said goals, probably by “Victory Day” on Could ninth.


A European official stated yesterday night that the Russian navy launched a shaping operation concentrating on the northwest of Donbas and in Zaporizhzhia province. Equally, a US protection official echoed that at this time, saying they consider the shaping operations are a prelude to bigger operations Russians plan to conduct.


British Protection Intelligence expects Russia to mount a three-pronged assault on Ukraine’s Donbas by way of Luhansk, Donetsk, and Mariupol, complimented by advances from the north and Crimea. 


The Russians could also be making an attempt a single extensive encirclement of Ukrainian forces from Izyum to Donetsk Metropolis or a sequence of smaller encirclements inside that arc. In a worst case situation, a profitable pincer motion south and north may lure upwards of six to eight Ukrainian brigades. 


Russia has completed accumulating combat-ready reserve forces for the battle within the Donbas close to Izyum within the north and Zaporizhzhia to south.


On the bottom, Russia has over 70 Battalion Tactical Teams (BTGs) in japanese Ukraine, many strengthened from items pulled from the failed northern offensives and people forces are being bolstered by new artillery, command and management, and logistics capabilities. 


Ukrainian authorities have warned that Russia perhaps getting ready assaults on church buildings on Orthodox Easter Day. Russian media shops have reportedly printed false details about Ukrainian forces planning on shelling Orthodox church buildings in a number of Ukrainian areas on Orthodox Easter, April twenty fourth.


Russian and Belarusian forces proceed “demonstrative actions” to repair Ukrainian forces round Kyiv in place.


A sizeable space has been flooded in Ukraine’s northeast resulting from an explosion on the dam on the Irpen River. It ought to be famous that there are a number of giant dams alongside the Dnieper River that might be mined and used for navy functions notably in opposition to civilian populations downstream with doubtlessly catastrophic outcomes. One such dam borders close to the closely contaminated websites round Chernobyl and might be used to unfold radioactive materials over a large space. 


Kharkiv stays remoted and closely broken by Russian forces.


Russian assaults from Izyum are targeted on Rubizne, Popasna, Severodonetsk into Donbas.


Russia has taken the town of Kreminna as Russia strikes ahead with its offensive within the Donbas area. The seize of Kreminna brings Russian forces a step nearer to the a lot bigger metropolis of Kramatorsk.


Russian forces have all however secured Mariupol aside from an remoted pocket the Azovstal complicated that can probably fall in hours. 


Ukrainian resistance continues round northern Kherson.


Russia is reportedly planning to closely shell populated areas Kherson in southern Ukraine in a false flag assault framing Ukrainian troops.  


Russia is firing high-explosive shells at civilian infrastructure within the Ukraine’s cities of Kherson and Mykolaiv to “demoralize” the inhabitants within the new offensive. 


Russian forces carried out assaults on Mykolayiv. 


Ukraine has continued to warn of a possible Russian offensive popping out of Moldova’s Transnistria area to take Odesa from the west to satisfy an japanese pincer from Mykolayiv.


The Netherlands will ship heavy weaponry, together with armoured autos to Ukraine.


The British Authorities is reportedly sending Stormer armoured anti-aircraft missile launchers to Ukraine. 


The Czech Protection Ministry has stated native corporations will work to restore Ukrainian navy gear broken in combating.


US troops will practice Ukrainian forces within the coming days on easy methods to function US howitzers.


Prime Minister Trudeau has introduced that Canada is sending the Ukrainian navy heavy artillery with particulars to comply with. 


Japan has stated it should present Ukraine with protecting masks, drones, and different gear in response to alleged chemical weapons use.



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